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September 12, 2016

Here's a quick draw 5 macro technical charts (going as far as individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and sectors, as well as the rest of the major indexes). No comments on anything except the technical/price developments. Even if you're not technical analysis minde...

September 11, 2016

We introduced the weekly equity sentiment poll last week (as a reminder it distinguishes between bullish and bearish on equities for fundamental vs technical rationale). Here's an update of the charts with the latest numbers. Given the market action on Friday the poll...

September 9, 2016

China reported PPI deflation at a much slower pace of -0.8% y/y in August, once again better than expectations, and better than the July figure of -1.7%, and a vast improvement from the worst point of -6% at the end of last year.  China's PPI inflation has made a remar...

September 9, 2016

Those that follow my personal account on Twitter and StockTwits will be familiar with my weekly S&P 500 #ChartStorm in which I pick out 10 charts on the S&P 500 to tweet. Typically I'll pick a couple of themes and hammer them home with the charts, but sometimes it...

September 9, 2016

Seasonality is an important and sometimes overlooked part of economic and market analysis.  While it's absolutely critical for asset classes like commodities, it's also useful for more traditional assets like equities.  From old sayings like "sell in May" to the "Santa...

September 8, 2016

A few weeks ago I put up a poll questioning whether my followers on Twitter (of which there are about 12k) were bullish or bearish on equities *and* whether the primary rationale was technicals or fundamentals. Since then I've asked the same question each week and we n...

September 7, 2016

Here's a quick post on a graph I was curious about, namely the presidential polls vs the markets.  I did a similar exercise for the Brexit vote by tracking a moving average of averages of the polls (aka poll of polls) which ultimately gave the right lead on the outcome...

September 6, 2016

After the shocking US ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI results for August a number of grim looking charts on the US economy have popped up on my feed.  It's worth reflecting on these charts as you can't simply dismiss the softness of the data despite a still...

September 5, 2016

Here's a quick draw 5 macro technical charts (going as far as individual commodities, currencies, bonds, and sectors, as well as the rest of the major indexes). No comments on anything except the technical/price developments. Even if you're not technical analysis minde...

September 4, 2016

The title of this post should look out of place on a website that's about global macro charts and analysis. But I thought it would be worth taking the time to explain the story behind this website and my recent move from big city big company to small town startup.

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