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September 28, 2016

The Westpac/MNI Consumer Sentiment survey for September (just released) rose 3.7pts to 115.2.  This is a volatile series that changes a lot month to month; the 3 month average was 113.6 against the long run average of 119.6.  So while the improvement is worth noting it...

September 23, 2016

While China no longer has a flash manufacturing PMI (like Japan/US/Eurozone) what it does have is the MNI China Business Sentiment Survey, which was just released today for September.  The index was up +1.5pts to 55.8 (a 13 month high). The driver of the increase in th...

September 22, 2016

This ChartBrief looks at the REER (Real Effective Exchange Rate - from the BIS) for China and Japan. You probably have two questions; why these two countries, and what are REERs?  First is China has seen its REER down 7% so far this year, and Japan up 18% YTD.  When yo...

September 21, 2016

One of the first surveys for September, the SMI (Sales Managers Index - kind of like the more popular PMI or Purchasing Managers Index), was just released for a handful of economies. It's always interesting to examine alternative economic indicators to bring in a new p...

September 19, 2016

Two very interesting trends have emerged in China recently; 1. the re-ignition of the Chinese property bubble; and 2. the seemingly impending end of producer price deflation.  The two trends are inter-related, and with the release of the August 70 cities property price...

September 13, 2016

China's economy has been through a period of structural slowing, which up until early this year was accentuated by cyclical slowing. A series of stimulus efforts have helped improve the cyclical situation and push against some of the structural headwinds. This has resu...

September 9, 2016

China reported PPI deflation at a much slower pace of -0.8% y/y in August, once again better than expectations, and better than the July figure of -1.7%, and a vast improvement from the worst point of -6% at the end of last year.  China's PPI inflation has made a remar...

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