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May 10, 2019

Here's an overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report.  Also be sure to check out the 2018 End of Year Special Edition to see some of our best calls of last year and charts to watch for the year ahead...

February 15, 2019

Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report.  Also check out the 2018 End of Year Special Edition.

To read more and see the charts just get in touch! 

1. OECD Leading Indicators:  The glob...

October 17, 2018

One of my favorite things to do is discover and utilize somewhat obscure, new, misunderstood, or underutilized datasets.  Or indeed, to look at an existing and well-understood set of data in a different way.  In today's post we look at a little bit of all of the above....

September 14, 2018

The global GDP weighted consumer sentiment index dipped slightly in September, but stayed within its upward trend, and continued its divergence against the global manufacturing PMI.  That last point is worth highlighting.  Consumer sentiment is often understood to be m...

June 27, 2018

There was a striking figure in the latest Conference Board US consumer confidence data - the headlines were all about the decrease on the month, but as always it pays to look beyond the the obvious and into the detail.  The thing that stuck out to me was how optimistic...

June 16, 2018

This chart makes use of the Thomson Reuters Ipsos consumer sentiment indexes, which I have aggregated into a GDP weighted global composite.  The global composite consumer sentiment index took a dive in June - and in some ways looks like a delayed reaction.  Previously...

June 14, 2018

Something curious is going on with Chinese retail sales.  In contrast to the official consumer confidence index, which has been booming - around multi-decade highs (highest since the early-1990's), retail sales growth has been on a declining path, and was particularly...

May 11, 2018

There is a little-watched and relatively obscure set of indicators produced by Thomson Reuters and Ipsos, called the primary consumer sentiment indexes.  These provide a standardized approach to measuring consumer sentiment across a number of countries, and provide tim...

November 10, 2017

The November readings of the Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Consumer Sentiment indexes revealed a picture of solid consumer confidence at a global level.  The global GDP weighted reading was up +0.13pts to 57.76 with Developed Economies up +0.08pts to 54.04 and Emerging Markets...

September 17, 2017

The September readings of the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment surveys showed the GDP weighted global composite rebounding firmly to new highs - following in the footsteps of global equities; which have also moved on to new highs.  The strength was driven by emerging markets,...

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