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October 24, 2016

The October round of flash manufacturing PMIs have just been released, and they were all stronger than last month and stronger than expected: US 53.2 (51.6 expected, 51.5 previous), Europe 53.3 (52.7 E, 52.6 P), and Japan 51.7 (50.6 E 50.4 P).  This now puts the global...

October 5, 2016

With the release of the September round of manufacturing PMIs there are some important macro themes, nascent trends, and investment implications worth paying attention to.  In this article I will take you through what I believe are the key takeaways for markets and inv...

September 23, 2016

Here's a quick update on the September round of flash manufacturing PMIs from IHS Markit. The results were mostly positive with Europe up +0.9 to 52.6 (Germany +0.7 to 54.3, France +1.2 to 49.5), Japan up +0.8 to 50.3 and China (the MNI China Business Sentiment flash r...

September 6, 2016

After the shocking US ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI results for August a number of grim looking charts on the US economy have popped up on my feed.  It's worth reflecting on these charts as you can't simply dismiss the softness of the data despite a still...

September 3, 2016

It's always worth keeping an eye on the PMIs as an early lead for changes in macro trends and for the sake of understanding the existing trends.  These trends will ultimately exert themselves on global markets.  So when you see the global manufacturing PMI falling slig...

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