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November 21, 2019

What if I told you there was a bubble but it wasn't in risk assets?  What if I told you that the assets most investors look to for safety and capital preservation could actually be the biggest source of risk in portfolios right now?

OK, if I haven't lost you already, ye...

August 1, 2019

Margin debt is a funny indicator, it gets frequently used and abused by both rational cool-headed traders as well as sensationalist fear-mongers.  So what's the deal with margin debt, and what (if anything) is it even telling us?

The first chart is an old favorite...

May 24, 2019

Here's an overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report.  Also be sure to check out the 2018 End of Year Special Edition to see some of our best calls of last year and charts to watch for the year ahead...

May 17, 2019

Here's an overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report.  Also be sure to check out the 2018 End of Year Special Edition to see some of our best calls of last year and charts to watch for the year ahead...

April 16, 2019

The US dollar has had a very interesting start to 2019.  Unlike equity markets which have seen a sharp rebound rally through Q1, the US dollar has found itself locked in an ever tighter trading range.  As such, a key risk indicator has lit-up... or more appropriately,...

April 8, 2019

In this edition I take you through another 5 charts which increasingly show a clear turning point in sentiment from previous pessimism to tentative optimism on the fundamentals outlook.  Indeed, while you don't want to go flippantly throwing around the term "melt-up",...

April 1, 2019

In this edition I take you through 5 charts which outline how a possible reassessment of the global macro/fundamental outlook is changing among investors.  From a peak in the "bull market in pessimism" to a reflation reassessment, there's signs of change afoot here, an...

March 25, 2019

In this article we explore how starkly sentiment has shifted on the fundamentals outlook.  From the heights of euphoria at the beginning of last year, there now seems to be a deepening sense of fear on the fundamentals outlook.  Bears will say it's the end of the cycle...

March 18, 2019

The sentiment snapshot series is back!  For context, in the sentiment snapshot series I look at some of the charts from the weekly survey on Twitter, which asks respondents to indicate whether they are bullish or bearish for primarily technical or fundamental rati...

March 13, 2019

Quantitative tightening has been running at full speed for almost 5 months now (and for a total period of 17 months since commencing in October 2017), and with QT finally coming front of mind for investors I thought it would be a good idea to update some of the charts...

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