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ChartBrief #36 Peak Political Risk?
2016 was the year of political risk. From Trump to Brexit, China's ongoing economic and political transitions, India's demonetisation,...
Callum Thomas
Dec 12, 20162 min read


ChartBrief #32 This is Not a Tantrum
US 10-year treasury yields are now up over 100bps since the bottom in July. Indeed, from July until November, US 10 year government bond...
Callum Thomas
Dec 5, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #31 State Street Investor Confidence
The State Street Investor Confidence Index for November (just released) fell -0.3pts to 98.9, driven by a -4.6pt fall in the Asian index...
Callum Thomas
Nov 30, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #30 'Tis The Season
With only a month to go until Christmas it’s time to talk the old chest nut of the Santa Claus rally. The “Santa Claus rally” refers to...
Callum Thomas
Nov 23, 20162 min read


ChartBrief #12 Chinese Consumer
The Westpac/MNI Consumer Sentiment survey for September (just released) rose 3.7pts to 115.2. This is a volatile series that changes a...
Callum Thomas
Sep 28, 20162 min read


ChartBrief #11 Euro Stoxx vs Ifo
Tuning out from the US presidential debate for a moment, another debate seems to be raging over in Europe. The debate between the stock...
Callum Thomas
Sep 27, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #10 Equity Market Seasonality
I previously wrote about stock market seasonality just prior to the recent VIX flare-up, and now that things have calmed down again it's...
Callum Thomas
Sep 26, 20162 min read


ChartBrief #9 China Business Surveys
While China no longer has a flash manufacturing PMI (like Japan/US/Eurozone) what it does have is the MNI China Business Sentiment...
Callum Thomas
Sep 23, 20162 min read


ChartBrief #8 The Euphoriameter
What do you get when you combine a measure of fear vs complacency, a measure of low vs high valuations, and a measure of low vs high...
Callum Thomas
Sep 23, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #7 CPB Global Trade Trends
This ChartBrief looks at a really useful monthly series on global trade volumes that the CPB (Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy...
Callum Thomas
Sep 23, 20162 min read


ChartBrief #6 CNY VS JPY REER
This ChartBrief looks at the REER (Real Effective Exchange Rate - from the BIS) for China and Japan. You probably have two questions; why...
Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #5 Global Industrial Production
Welcome to the 5th Topdown Charts ChartBrief, today we look at trends in global industrial production growth (as a gauge for global...
Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #4 Fed Dot Plot
A quick update on the equal weighted average Fed "Dot Plot" dot following the September FOMC announcement. This graph charts the average...
Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #3 Emerging Market PE Ratio
This ChartBrief looks at emerging market equity valuations. Earlier this week in the Tuesday Technicals I outlined the short-term bearish...
Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #2 - Junk Bonds and EM Debt
Today's ChartBrief looks at assets under management in the major US listed ETFs for US junk bonds and (hard dollar) emerging market...
Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20161 min read


ChartBrief #1 - Global Freight Rates
ChartBrief ...what's a ChartBrief? (you might be thinking) But then again, the name kind of says it all. ChartBrief is a new series or...
Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20161 min read
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