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ChartBrief 172 - When does "so good" become "too good"?
As the global economic cycle heats up, it's worth posing the question: when does "so good" become "too good"? It's a reference to one of...
Callum Thomas
Dec 13, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 171 - Not Dot Com
I often look at sector composition trends for the S&P500, and one of the areas that is really standing out for me is the Information...
Callum Thomas
Dec 11, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 170 - Economic Noise and the S&P500
This post looks at a curious and obscure indicator on the US economy which has in the past provided some clues on the outlook for the US...
Callum Thomas
Dec 7, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 169 - December seasonality and the "Santa Claus rally"
The "Santa Claus rally" refers to the tendency for the S&P500 to do well in December, and specifically the last part of December. We can...
Callum Thomas
Dec 3, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 168 - Institutional investors are selling global equities into strength
For the second month in a row the State Street Investor Confidence Index came in below 100 (the index uses State Street's global...
Callum Thomas
Nov 29, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 167 - The Extraordinary Plunge in Stockmarket Volatility
Regular readers and followers on social media will be familiar with this chart, but what will probably be surprising is how this...
Callum Thomas
Nov 27, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 166 - Bonds through the Cycle
The topic of the yield curve is one that has been coming up a lot lately, particularly as the 10s minus 2s spread has dipped to the...
Callum Thomas
Nov 16, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 165 - Global Consumer Sentiment Update
The November readings of the Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Consumer Sentiment indexes revealed a picture of solid consumer confidence at a global...
Callum Thomas
Nov 11, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 164 - Global Equity Valuation Charts
If it has felt like global equities have done well this year that's probably because they have. The MSCI All Countries World Index is up...
Callum Thomas
Nov 8, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 163 - Key charts on US Margin Debt
NYSE Margin Debt is an important indicator for US equities as it both reflects sentiment and tracks the amount of leverage and buying...
Callum Thomas
Nov 4, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 162 - Stockmarket Sentiment Surges
Funny things can happen when you mix human psychology with greed and constant stimulus. The seemingly straight-line march upward in the...
Callum Thomas
Oct 27, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 161 - Implied Correlation and SKEW
We hear a lot about the VIX and how volatility is low, but we rarely hear about the VIX's siblings: the CBOE SKEW Index and the CBOE...
Callum Thomas
Oct 18, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 160 - China and Reflation
Chinese PPI inflation picked up further in September, accelerating to 6.9% (6.3% previous, and consensus). It forms part of a trend that...
Callum Thomas
Oct 17, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Red Flag
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Oct 16, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 159 - Emerging Economies go from Doom to Boom
Quick update today on the latest round of OECD Composite Leading Indicators and an observation on monetary policy trends within emerging...
Callum Thomas
Oct 12, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 158 - Bond Volatility at Rock Bottom
Just like with markets and economies, humans go through cycles of emotion and turning points - it's often the case that when someone hits...
Callum Thomas
Oct 11, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 157 - Global Equity Breadth Check
In this article we look at a 3 key charts on global equities that utilize market breadth techniques. In this case we are looking at the...
Callum Thomas
Oct 9, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bond Bears and Equity Bulls
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Oct 9, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 156 - Critical Signals in PMI-Bond Yield Divergences
First up is an update to the DM composite PMI vs US 10-year treasury chart - the final vs flash PMIs were revised up and that's now...
Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 155 - TED, HY Credit, VIX
Going through the various charts on credit strategy and risk pricing I noticed a couple of interesting and related charts that I thought...
Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read
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