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ChartBrief 140 - NACM CMI UP OK?
The NACM (National Association of Credit Managers) CMI (Credit Manager's Index) was up +0.5pts to 55.1 in August, putting it solidly in...
Callum Thomas
Sep 1, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 139 - China PMI vs Dr Copper
The August round of official PMI data from China showed some mixed signals, and a little bit of something for everyone, but overall a...
Callum Thomas
Aug 31, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 138 - Euphoria Peak
The August reading of the "Euphoriameter" showed a small but noticeable move down from what was a more than 12-year high, certainly a...
Callum Thomas
Aug 31, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 137 - Easy jobs, tight labor
The latest consumer confidence survey for the USA ticked up in July, but the key detail or information/signal within the survey comes...
Callum Thomas
Aug 30, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Fundamental Capitulation
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
Callum Thomas
Aug 28, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 136 - A flash signal for bonds
The August round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw the composite DM flash PMI basically unchanged. This was the product of stronger...
Callum Thomas
Aug 24, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 135 - The top 10 PE10
Here's a quick scan across countries and regions to find the top (and bottom) PE10. The PE10 is a stock market valuation metric which...
Callum Thomas
Aug 22, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Correction...
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
Callum Thomas
Aug 21, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 134 - Volatility regime change?
You have to look very closely at the chart, but our alternative measure of volatility has turned up... i.e. the rolling annual count of...
Callum Thomas
Aug 19, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 133 - Commodities a little too quiet..
I noticed something in the commodity charts, or perhaps you could say I noticed something that wasn't in the commodity charts. In other...
Callum Thomas
Aug 17, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 132 - OECD Leading Indicators: Good or Bad?
In this article we take a slightly different view on the OECD Composite Leading Indicators to arrive at a conclusion on the outlook for...
Callum Thomas
Aug 17, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 131 - S&P500 Seasonality Stir
It's very timely to take another look at stockmarket seasonality. The brief panic last week (barely a 2% selloff) actually came at a...
Callum Thomas
Aug 16, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 130 - China Debt & Leverage
The latest loans and monetary data out of China show a continuation of the story of adding more debt. Total social finance growth (the...
Callum Thomas
Aug 16, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 129 - The thing about Trump and North Korea...
After a crazy week the risk of a nuclear war has seemingly receded with the announcement by North Korea that its planned missile strike...
Callum Thomas
Aug 15, 20172 min read


5 Charts on the Chinese Economy
The July activity data for China were just released, but rather than dwell on the details of the data, I decided I would pick out 5...
Callum Thomas
Aug 14, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Panic.
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
Callum Thomas
Aug 14, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 128 - Wobbles in Consumer Sentiment
Here's a quick update on the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment Indexes through August. The main high-level takeaways were that the composite EM...
Callum Thomas
Aug 12, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 127 - India cuts interest rates, what's next?
Last week 2 things dropped in India: the manufacturing PMI for July dropped to the worst reading since the financial crisis, and the RBI...
Callum Thomas
Aug 7, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 126 - A tight US labor market
The July jobs report had the US unemployment rate dropping back to 4.3%, which is slightly lower than the trough in 2007, and comfortably...
Callum Thomas
Aug 5, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 125 - Optimistic if divergent global growth outlook
The July round of Markit manufacturing PMIs showed an ongoing theme of divergence among the major economies, but an interesting and...
Callum Thomas
Aug 3, 20172 min read
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