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ChartBrief 124 - NYSE Margin Debt Update
The latest NYSE margin debt data was just released (for June - yes it gets released with a 1-month lag... which by the way reduces its...
Callum Thomas
Aug 2, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 123 - Eurozone inflation upside
Most analysts continue to be too bearish on the Eurozone economy, and one area where there's potential for further upside surprise is...
Callum Thomas
Aug 1, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 122 - China PMI bad and good
The official manufacturing PMI for China came in at 51.4 in July (51.5 expected, 51.7 previous), and the non-manufacturing PMI at 54.5...
Callum Thomas
Jul 31, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Poll: Fundamentals
The latest weekly sentiment poll on Twitter showed a couple of very interesting trends in sentiment and markets. As a reminder the...
Callum Thomas
Jul 31, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 121 - Euphoriameter moves into a new phase
The Euphoriameter rose again in July, with the combined sentiment reading for the S&P500 lifted by rising forward PE ratios, a low VIX,...
Callum Thomas
Jul 30, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 120 - The Credit Managers Index
The latest Credit Managers' Index data from the NACM showed another blip down by -1.5 points to a still respectable 54.6 in July. It...
Callum Thomas
Jul 29, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 119 - THE DREADED TED SPREAD
The TED spread is something a lot of people were seemingly worried about a few months ago - at least that bearish crowd that provide the...
Callum Thomas
Jul 28, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 118 - Volatility bets hanging on
As equity market implied volatility grinds lower it's worth throwing a couple more charts into the mix. In this post we look at ETF bets...
Callum Thomas
Jul 27, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 117 - Global trade back to trend
The latest hard data on global trade continue to show a picture of global trade volumes returning to trend growth. We look at the CPB...
Callum Thomas
Jul 27, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 116 - Institutional investor capitulation
The latest State Street Investor Confidence Index data for July showed a distinct sense of upside capitulation (by North American...
Callum Thomas
Jul 26, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 115 - From Eurodoom to Euroboom
A couple of interesting data points on Europe have surfaced over the past couple of weeks which are worth highlighting. The first is the...
Callum Thomas
Jul 25, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 114 - Global flash manufacturing PMI ticks up in July
The July round of flash manufacturing PMIs showed a slight but important rebound in the "global flash manufacturing PMI" (an indicator we...
Callum Thomas
Jul 25, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 113 - This measure of US equity volatility is at a 22-year low
On a range of trends and topics these are unusual times we live in, and stock market volatility is no exception. As a matter of fact,...
Callum Thomas
Jul 24, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 112 - The stockmarket season is changing
Following on from the popular post on the seasonal turning point for the VIX last week, here's an insight into seasonality for the S&P500...
Callum Thomas
Jul 19, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 111 - The BOJ bond buying binge
As the Bank of Japan is set to meet this week to review monetary policy settings it's worth checking in on a couple of particularly...
Callum Thomas
Jul 19, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 110 - Global inflation trends
Recently the main talk in markets was reflation, but about 2 years ago everyone was talking about deflation: why deflation was...
Callum Thomas
Jul 17, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 109 - The big swings in commodity futures positioning
Here's a quick update on commodity futures positioning with the latest weekly CFTC COT report data. I've just picked out what I think...
Callum Thomas
Jul 16, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 108 - Global bond market breakdown
After the big reflation reset in positioning, global bond markets are showing more signs of breaking down. We previously talked in detail...
Callum Thomas
Jul 15, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 107 - China money growth monitor
The June money supply and credit stats out of China confirmed a couple of important trends that we've previously identified. The first...
Callum Thomas
Jul 13, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 106 - Bank of Canada hikes rates
The Bank of Canada has joined the Fed in embarking on the road to monetary policy normalization, hiking the benchmark monetary policy...
Callum Thomas
Jul 13, 20172 min read
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