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Something Strange in a Strange Credit Indicator
As I was going through and updating the various indicators that I monitor something in the credit space surprised me. The NACM CMI (think...
Callum Thomas
Jan 16, 20182 min read


Sentiment Snapshot: Did somebody say Melt-Up?
I had to think a bit before going with that title. The term "melt-up" is an increasingly overused word, and given this article features...
Callum Thomas
Jan 15, 20183 min read


VIDEO: Property Bubble in the SCANNZ economies?
In this video we look at the "SCANNZ economies" - carrying on the tradition of other country acronyms such as the BRICS or the PIIGS! ...
Topdown Charts
Jan 9, 20181 min read


ChartBrief 176 - EM vs DM Macro and Markets
With the December round of PMI data just released, it's a good time to take a look at some of the key macro and market metrics for...
Callum Thomas
Jan 5, 20183 min read


VIDEO: China Macro Tops and Tailwinds
In this video we look at the tops and tailwinds in China as 2018 looms. Specifically, the video walks you through a couple of slides of...
Topdown Charts
Dec 20, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 174 - China Property, PPI, and EM Equities
The November property price data out of China confirmed what we've been talking about for a while now (before most others caught on); the...
Callum Thomas
Dec 18, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 173 - Fed Hikes, What's Next
Much as I expected (given the progression of the data) the Fed hiked again in its December meeting [and in the background continues to...
Callum Thomas
Dec 14, 20172 min read


VIDEO: US Cyclicals vs Defensives and the new Bull Market
In this video we look at the astounding relative performance seen between cyclical stocks vs defensive stocks and why it matters so much...
Topdown Charts
Dec 13, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 172 - When does "so good" become "too good"?
As the global economic cycle heats up, it's worth posing the question: when does "so good" become "too good"? It's a reference to one of...
Callum Thomas
Dec 13, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 170 - Economic Noise and the S&P500
This post looks at a curious and obscure indicator on the US economy which has in the past provided some clues on the outlook for the US...
Callum Thomas
Dec 7, 20172 min read


VIDEO: SLOOS Scrutiny - 2 Charts say Boom or Doom for US economy
In this video we look at the US Federal Reserve's senior loan officer survey and how a couple of key indicators in that report spell it...
Topdown Charts
Dec 6, 20171 min read


Crypto Charting: 5 fascinating charts that put the rise of Bitcoin in perspective
Whether it's a bubble, or viral adoption, or something else, I think most would agree that the rise of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in...
Callum Thomas
Dec 6, 20173 min read


What I Learned About the S&P500 from Studying the US IPO Market
The US IPO market shows a familiar ebb and flow to the stock market price cycle. Studying the trends in IPO activity can yield...
Callum Thomas
Dec 5, 20172 min read


Europhoria - What hot economic sentiment in Europe means for markets
The latest round of PMI data for Europe reflected what we're seeing across the economic sentiment indicators for the Eurozone: i.e. the...
Callum Thomas
Nov 28, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 167 - The Extraordinary Plunge in Stockmarket Volatility
Regular readers and followers on social media will be familiar with this chart, but what will probably be surprising is how this...
Callum Thomas
Nov 27, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 24 Nov 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Nov 26, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 166 - Bonds through the Cycle
The topic of the yield curve is one that has been coming up a lot lately, particularly as the 10s minus 2s spread has dipped to the...
Callum Thomas
Nov 16, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 165 - Global Consumer Sentiment Update
The November readings of the Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Consumer Sentiment indexes revealed a picture of solid consumer confidence at a global...
Callum Thomas
Nov 11, 20171 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 10 Nov 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Nov 11, 20172 min read


Are US HY Credit Spreads "Too Low"?
In my conversations with clients a common topic of interest is that of US high yield credit spreads. Indeed, it's almost the opposite...
Callum Thomas
Nov 7, 20172 min read
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