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VIDEO: Boring Bears
In this video we look at a section of the report, curiously titled "Boring Bears". Specifically, the video walks you through a couple of...
Topdown Charts
Oct 4, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 155 - TED, HY Credit, VIX
Going through the various charts on credit strategy and risk pricing I noticed a couple of interesting and related charts that I thought...
Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read


A seasonal second wind for the Dollar?
In this article we look at a couple of key potential catalysts that will shape the tactical view on the US dollar at a time when the USD...
Callum Thomas
Oct 3, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Confidence and Complacency
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Oct 2, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 154 - Seasonality update: What doesn't go down must go up...
As I write this article the S&P500 is up 1.4% month to date, with a max drawdown of -0.6% - which makes for a relatively joyful...
Callum Thomas
Sep 28, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Gold Price Outlook
In this video we look at the short, medium, and long-term outlook for the gold price. Specifically, the video walks through a couple of...
Topdown Charts
Sep 27, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 153 - Sentiment update: Euphoria Heights
The preliminary September reading of The Euphoriameter showed a rebound from August to a fresh new 13-year high. All 3 components...
Callum Thomas
Sep 27, 20172 min read


Cyclicals vs Defensives PB Ratio at a Cyclical High?
I was running some analysis on cyclical vs defensive sectors and decided to take a look at the price to book ratios. While we can argue...
Callum Thomas
Sep 26, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bond Bears
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Sep 25, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 150 - Passive Quantitative Tightening
As expected (by me and pretty much everyone else) the Fed held interest rates unchanged and announced that it would commence its balance...
Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bonds vs Stocks
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Sep 18, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 146 - Bond market sentiment pre-Fed meeting
The September FOMC meeting starts on Tuesday next week. Odds are good that they either announce QT (Quantitative Tightening) or flag its...
Callum Thomas
Sep 14, 20172 min read


Economic noise striking a cautionary tone
This article discusses an unusual but interesting indicator I designed to gauge the background economic noise emanating from an economy...
Callum Thomas
Sep 12, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: The Waiting Game
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
Callum Thomas
Sep 11, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Global equity fundamentals and the "Mini-Recession"
In this video we look at the key trends in global equity fundamentals. The video walks through a couple of slides of a recent edition of...
Topdown Charts
Sep 6, 20171 min read


The implications of low implied correlations
In this article we take another look at a somewhat obscure indicator "implied correlations". The Implied Correlation Index comes from...
Callum Thomas
Sep 5, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Fundamental Optimism
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
Callum Thomas
Sep 4, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 1 Sep 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Sep 1, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 138 - Euphoria Peak
The August reading of the "Euphoriameter" showed a small but noticeable move down from what was a more than 12-year high, certainly a...
Callum Thomas
Aug 31, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Is a QT-Tantrum on the way for bond yields?
In this video we look at the prospects for a QT (Quantitative Tightening) tantrum for the bond market. The video walks through a couple...
Topdown Charts
Aug 30, 20171 min read
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