Weekly Macro Themes - 20 January 2017
Here's an overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest Weekly Macro Themes.
This week is a pre-Chinese New Year special edition focused on China.
1. Q4/December data: An update on the state of China's economy with the key charts showing the important trends and standouts investors need to know, and the extent and impact of stimulus efforts.
2. Property Prices: An analysis of property price trends, inflation, and monetary policy with some conclusions around the risk outlook and the must-watch charts to detect systemic risks early.
3. The Renminbi: A logical flow on i.e. how monetary policy impacts the currency, and in turn FX reserves and the surprising impact on the US bond market.
4. International Trade: How the currency and global economic environment will impact on the outlook for Chinese exports, along with the OBOR (One Belt One Road) program.
5.A. China A-Shares: A look at valuation, margin debt, earnings revisions, and an interesting leading indicator that's pointing to potential big league upside in earnings.
5.B. MSCI China Index: This time for non-domestic Chinese stocks, a look at valuation, the impact of China's fiscal policy, economic policy uncertainty, and ETF flows.
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