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Weekly Macro Themes - 11 June 2021

Here's a brief overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. I send this report out late Friday NZ time and aim to cover a good mix of macro/ideas/risk management topics, across a global macro/multi-asset universe.

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:

1. China Macro: We look at the inflation situation in China and the evolving policy outlook - what it might mean (or not mean) for the global outlook.

2. Commodities: A look at short-term, medium-term, and longer term charts of what we think are the key indicators for this asset class... and that all important question of cyclical vs secular bull market.

3. Agri: After previously changing our view from bullish to neutral, we review the outlook for agri commodities as a whole, and in particular grains.

4. Global Banks: A look at global bank equities in terms of the risk vs opportunity outlook, and whether it makes sense to differentiate between global vs US.

5. European Equities (+EURUSD): What's next after the breakout, and will EURUSD breakout next? We show the key charts and indicators we're looking at to get a sense for the probabilities here.

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About the Weekly Macro Themes report

The "Weekly Macro Themes" is part of our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.

Also part of the service is the monthly market cycle guidebook, global cross asset market monitor, and quarterly strategy pack.

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