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Weekly Macro Themes - 25 June 2021

Here's a brief overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. I send this report out late Friday NZ time and aim to cover a good mix of macro/ideas/risk management topics, across a global macro/multi-asset universe.

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:

1. Macro Clippings: A check in on global consumer confidence trends, economic leading indicators, and an update to the global monetary policy pivot theme.

2. Global Shipping: We document how global trade volumes have recovered, the impact on shipping costs, trends in shipping sector capex/profitability, and tactical indicators for shipping sector stocks.

3. Emerging Markets: Reviewing the strategic outlook as sentiment/positioning resets.

4. EM ex-Asia: We continue to advocate applying some nuance in EM equity allocations by looking at EM ex-Asia vs emerging Asia.

5. EM Fixed Income: An update on EM sovereign bond yields, credit risk pricing, EMFX, and investor sentiment towards this asset class.

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About the Weekly Macro Themes report

The "Weekly Macro Themes" is part of our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.

Also part of the service is the monthly market cycle guidebook, global cross asset market monitor, and quarterly strategy pack.

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