Weekly Macro Themes - 29 July 2022
- Callum Thomas
- Aug 1, 2022
- 2 min read
Here's a brief overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. I send this report out late Friday NZ time and aim to cover a good mix of macro/ideas/risk topics, across a global macro/multi-asset universe.
This week I covered the following topics/ideas:
1. Global Policy Pulse: global monetary policy tightening progresses with no prospect of a pause or pivot at this stage, and hence ongoing headwinds to growth and global equities.
2. When EM? We take a look at the question "when is it time to buy EM equities?" reviewing the situation across valuations and sentiment - where there have been some big moves, but also on the macro/policy side, risk indicators, and technicals.
3. EM Bonds: Promising signs across absolute valuations, relative value, sentiment, intermarket indicators, technical indicators, along with macro and a glance across the EMFX basket to help with the currency (hard dollar vs local) question...
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About the Weekly Macro Themes report
The "Weekly Macro Themes" is part of our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.
Also part of the service is the monthly market cycle guidebook, global cross asset market monitor, and quarterly strategy pack.
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I feel like I keep hearing "buy EM" but I'm always hesitant. Valuations are tempting, sure, but then you remember everything ELSE that can go wrong. That flappy bird of sovereign debt risk, endlessly tempting to tap but always a plummet waiting to happen, right? 😅
Still, the intermarket stuff is compelling. I might actually fill out that form...just for curiosity's sake. Macro's a beast! Thanks for the breakdown.
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