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Weekly Macro Themes - 7 May 2021

Here's a brief overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report (the flagship report of our institutional research service). I send this report out weekly late Friday NZ time and aim to cover a good mix of macro/ideas/risk management topics, across a global macro/multi-asset universe.

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:


1. Inflation Outlook: There are increasingly clear signs of upside risk to inflation short and medium term.


2. Global Policy Pulse: The global monetary policy cycle is turning from rate cuts to rate hikes.


3. Global Lending Conditions: Banks are starting to tentatively ease lending standards again.


4. Europe Macro: The macro outlook for Europe is taking a distinctly positive tone; reiterate bullish European equities as the major benchmarks breakout, with the Euro perhaps next to breakout.


5. AUDUSD: Lean bullish Australian dollar vs US dollar given improving macro, risk-on sentiment, commodities bull market, and neutral valuation/positioning signals.




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About the Weekly Macro Themes report

The "Weekly Macro Themes" is part of our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.

Also part of the service is the monthly market cycle guidebook, global cross asset market monitor, and quarterly strategy pack.

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