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Weekly Macro Themes - 6 Oct 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Oct 6, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 156 - Critical Signals in PMI-Bond Yield Divergences
First up is an update to the DM composite PMI vs US 10-year treasury chart - the final vs flash PMIs were revised up and that's now...
Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Boring Bears
In this video we look at a section of the report, curiously titled "Boring Bears". Specifically, the video walks you through a couple of...
Topdown Charts
Oct 4, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 155 - TED, HY Credit, VIX
Going through the various charts on credit strategy and risk pricing I noticed a couple of interesting and related charts that I thought...
Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read


A seasonal second wind for the Dollar?
In this article we look at a couple of key potential catalysts that will shape the tactical view on the US dollar at a time when the USD...
Callum Thomas
Oct 3, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Confidence and Complacency
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Oct 2, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 29 Sep 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Sep 29, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 154 - Seasonality update: What doesn't go down must go up...
As I write this article the S&P500 is up 1.4% month to date, with a max drawdown of -0.6% - which makes for a relatively joyful...
Callum Thomas
Sep 28, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Gold Price Outlook
In this video we look at the short, medium, and long-term outlook for the gold price. Specifically, the video walks through a couple of...
Topdown Charts
Sep 27, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 153 - Sentiment update: Euphoria Heights
The preliminary September reading of The Euphoriameter showed a rebound from August to a fresh new 13-year high. All 3 components...
Callum Thomas
Sep 27, 20172 min read


Cyclicals vs Defensives PB Ratio at a Cyclical High?
I was running some analysis on cyclical vs defensive sectors and decided to take a look at the price to book ratios. While we can argue...
Callum Thomas
Sep 26, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 152 - Is the bond market wrong about the global economy?
The September round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw our composite "global flash PMI" rising +0.4pts to 54.7 - the same level it got to in...
Callum Thomas
Sep 25, 20172 min read


Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bond Bears
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
Callum Thomas
Sep 25, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 151 - These 2 incredible ETF AUM charts show what's at stake with QT1
The Fed's plan to normalize its balance sheet will begin to be put in place from next month. This is passive QT or Quantitative...
Callum Thomas
Sep 23, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 22 Sep 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Sep 22, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 150 - Passive Quantitative Tightening
As expected (by me and pretty much everyone else) the Fed held interest rates unchanged and announced that it would commence its balance...
Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 149 - A New Extreme in Volatility
The last time I reviewed this chart I pondered the possibility of a turning point or the start of a regime change for volatility... this...
Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Global Monetary Policy Convergence
In this video we look at the topic of Global Monetary Policy Convergence. Specifically, the video walks through a couple of slides of a...
Topdown Charts
Sep 20, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 148 - Chinese property price boom has topped out
The August data showed a further slowing of China's property price boom, and early signs that a slowdown if not a downturn could be on...
Callum Thomas
Sep 19, 20172 min read


Global monetary policy convergence
The big focus this week is on whether the Fed will either hike rates, announce Quantitative Tighening (QT) aka balance sheet...
Callum Thomas
Sep 19, 20172 min read
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