top of page

Search


Passive Investors Beware of Lopsidedness
A curious trend has emerged within one of the world's major equity benchmarks: the S&P500. As passive or index investors should be well...
Callum Thomas
Oct 26, 20172 min read


VIDEO: The Fed, Inflation, and Full Employment
In this video we look at the Fed, inflation and full employment. Specifically, the video walks you through a couple of slides of a...
Topdown Charts
Oct 25, 20171 min read


Is the Unemployment Rate "right"?
The topic of the unemployment rate has come up a lot recently with regards to debates around full employment, wage growth, inflation, the...
Callum Thomas
Oct 17, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 156 - Critical Signals in PMI-Bond Yield Divergences
First up is an update to the DM composite PMI vs US 10-year treasury chart - the final vs flash PMIs were revised up and that's now...
Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 152 - Is the bond market wrong about the global economy?
The September round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw our composite "global flash PMI" rising +0.4pts to 54.7 - the same level it got to in...
Callum Thomas
Sep 25, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 150 - Passive Quantitative Tightening
As expected (by me and pretty much everyone else) the Fed held interest rates unchanged and announced that it would commence its balance...
Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 148 - Chinese property price boom has topped out
The August data showed a further slowing of China's property price boom, and early signs that a slowdown if not a downturn could be on...
Callum Thomas
Sep 19, 20172 min read


Global monetary policy convergence
The big focus this week is on whether the Fed will either hike rates, announce Quantitative Tighening (QT) aka balance sheet...
Callum Thomas
Sep 19, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 147 - Global consumer sentiment rises as global equities hit new highs
The September readings of the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment surveys showed the GDP weighted global composite rebounding firmly to new highs -...
Callum Thomas
Sep 18, 20172 min read


Economic noise striking a cautionary tone
This article discusses an unusual but interesting indicator I designed to gauge the background economic noise emanating from an economy...
Callum Thomas
Sep 12, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 145 - The Reemergence of Emerging Markets
Going through the latest numbers from the OECD Composite Leading Indicators data set I thought it would be worth sharing a couple of what...
Callum Thomas
Sep 11, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 8 Sep 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Sep 8, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 141 - Global manufacturing muddling through
The August round of manufacturing PMIs at an aggregate level showed a trend of muddling through. But it was a different type of muddling...
Callum Thomas
Sep 4, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 140 - NACM CMI UP OK?
The NACM (National Association of Credit Managers) CMI (Credit Manager's Index) was up +0.5pts to 55.1 in August, putting it solidly in...
Callum Thomas
Sep 1, 20171 min read


ChartBrief 139 - China PMI vs Dr Copper
The August round of official PMI data from China showed some mixed signals, and a little bit of something for everyone, but overall a...
Callum Thomas
Aug 31, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 137 - Easy jobs, tight labor
The latest consumer confidence survey for the USA ticked up in July, but the key detail or information/signal within the survey comes...
Callum Thomas
Aug 30, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 25 Aug 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Aug 25, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 136 - A flash signal for bonds
The August round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw the composite DM flash PMI basically unchanged. This was the product of stronger...
Callum Thomas
Aug 24, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 132 - OECD Leading Indicators: Good or Bad?
In this article we take a slightly different view on the OECD Composite Leading Indicators to arrive at a conclusion on the outlook for...
Callum Thomas
Aug 17, 20172 min read


VIDEO: Fed loan officer survey says everything is A-OK
In this video we look at the latest Fed loan officer survey results to see the key trends and insights on loan growth, the economy, and...
Topdown Charts
Aug 16, 20171 min read
bottom of page