top of page

Search


Cyclicals vs Defensives - the next shoe to drop?
The February stockmarket correction has investors scrambling to find the reason behind the rapid fall in the major indexes, with various...
Callum Thomas
Feb 14, 20182 min read


ChartBrief 186 - Bear Market Indicator
Don't let the title put you off, this bear market warning indicator is actually giving the all clear. This chart featured in the first...
Callum Thomas
Feb 7, 20181 min read


The Age of Expensiveness
If it seems like just about every asset class is expensive, then you're probably paying good attention to reality. Our indicators show a...
Callum Thomas
Jan 30, 20182 min read


ChartBrief 182 - Bond Yield Outlook
With the latest round of flash manufacturing PMI data, and a couple of key levels already being breached (across markets) it's a good...
Callum Thomas
Jan 25, 20183 min read


Copper Stocks Don't Buy The Rally
Something interesting has been going on in one of our commodity intermarket models. While the price of copper has surged back from the...
Callum Thomas
Jan 23, 20182 min read


ChartBrief 180 - On Bulls and Bears
Studying sentiment surveys can help not only in short-term stockmarket timing decisions, but also in understanding the broader mood of...
Callum Thomas
Jan 18, 20182 min read


Something Strange in a Strange Credit Indicator
As I was going through and updating the various indicators that I monitor something in the credit space surprised me. The NACM CMI (think...
Callum Thomas
Jan 16, 20182 min read


VIDEO: Property Bubble in the SCANNZ economies?
In this video we look at the "SCANNZ economies" - carrying on the tradition of other country acronyms such as the BRICS or the PIIGS! ...
Topdown Charts
Jan 9, 20181 min read


ChartBrief 175 - US 10-year Bond Yields about to go to 3.5%?
A couple of things are happening in the bond space right now. Last week we got the flash PMIs for the major DM economies, and all fronts...
Callum Thomas
Dec 20, 20172 min read


VIDEO: China Macro Tops and Tailwinds
In this video we look at the tops and tailwinds in China as 2018 looms. Specifically, the video walks you through a couple of slides of...
Topdown Charts
Dec 20, 20171 min read


Global Equities Have Bad Breadth
Global equities can do little wrong lately, with falling volatility, improving earnings, and an almost straight-line upward march in the...
Callum Thomas
Dec 19, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 174 - China Property, PPI, and EM Equities
The November property price data out of China confirmed what we've been talking about for a while now (before most others caught on); the...
Callum Thomas
Dec 18, 20172 min read


VIDEO: US Cyclicals vs Defensives and the new Bull Market
In this video we look at the astounding relative performance seen between cyclical stocks vs defensive stocks and why it matters so much...
Topdown Charts
Dec 13, 20171 min read


Expect more volatility?
Globally equity volatility is low. For that matter, volatility (both implied and realized) is low across the major asset classes. But...
Callum Thomas
Dec 12, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 171 - Not Dot Com
I often look at sector composition trends for the S&P500, and one of the areas that is really standing out for me is the Information...
Callum Thomas
Dec 11, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 8 Dec 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Dec 10, 20172 min read


ChartBrief 170 - Economic Noise and the S&P500
This post looks at a curious and obscure indicator on the US economy which has in the past provided some clues on the outlook for the US...
Callum Thomas
Dec 7, 20172 min read


VIDEO: SLOOS Scrutiny - 2 Charts say Boom or Doom for US economy
In this video we look at the US Federal Reserve's senior loan officer survey and how a couple of key indicators in that report spell it...
Topdown Charts
Dec 6, 20171 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 1 Dec 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
Topdown Charts
Dec 1, 20172 min read


VIDEO: US HY Credit Spreads - a strategic analysis
In this video we look at US HY Credit Spreads and provide a strategic analysis, and comment on how to think about timing this asset class....
Topdown Charts
Nov 29, 20171 min read
bottom of page