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Weekly Macro Themes - 16 June 2017


Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report.

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1. Fed rate normalization well underway: The Fed basically pre-announced QT - read our take on the implications for bond markets in terms of the yields and volatility outlook.

2. Rate hikes and SPX - when is enough enough? Rate hikes are becoming a headwind to equities, and we show 3 specific ways of viewing how rates impact equities and what charts you should be paying attention to for Fed risks to the stock market.

3. China rates conundrum: China faces domestic and external pressure to hike interest rates. This is bad news for the cyclical/risk outlook in China over the next 6-18 months. Check out the key graphs and indicators we are talking to our clients about.

4. Crude oil quandary: The outlook for the crude oil price is complex and while we have a degree of conviction in the short-term view, the medium term view is clearer given the evolution of oil market fundamentals.

5. EM equities: The 'easy' gains in emerging markets have been had. Check out the reasons why we think EM can perform short-term but why it may not be wise to chase the returns without a good dynamic asset allocation strategy and analytical framework.

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About the Weekly Macro Themes report

The "Weekly Macro Themes" is our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.

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#WeeklyMacroThemes #monetarypolicy #bonds #SPX #China #Oil #emergingmarkets #Indicators #equities #portfoliostrategy

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